Murky-Plug
0x3e797fa98106d302e52940e946b4a5ec599f2bb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpensea token market cap (FDV) $15b or more one day after launch?$1.38Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 in May?$0.00Jun 1, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in May?$1.20Jun 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bloc Québécois win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$0.00Jun 1, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bloc Québécois win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$1.26Apr 30, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on March 30?$0.00Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on March 30?$1.52Mar 31, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 48°F or higher on February 17?$0.00Feb 19, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 48°F or higher on February 17?$1.32Feb 17, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Louka T. Katseli be next Greek President?$0.00Feb 14, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed take 175-199 attempts to beat Fortnite?$0.00Feb 14, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed take 175-199 attempts to beat Fortnite?$1.26Feb 5, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue less than 100 executive orders in first week?$0.00Jan 30, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Louka T. Katseli be next Greek President?$1.07Jan 30, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anna Kanopatskaya win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 30, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue less than 100 executive orders in first week?$1.08Jan 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anna Kanopatskaya win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$1.10Jan 27, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEverton wins the Premier League?$0.78Jan 3, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton wins the Premier League?$1.04Dec 30, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?$540.00Dec 21, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $145.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.