False-Elicit
0x3e81600bf2e464880f6828b92f42c5f04e307db5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- PANATHINAIKOS
Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milano
1213 shares @ 82.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5
646 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-395.35
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?
297 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 30?
226 shares @ 75.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
214 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-94.49
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
185 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?
148 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- CAVALIERS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
78 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?
31 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$58.82May 25, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$35.58May 24, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$30.44May 24, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$57.69May 20, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$120.48May 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$30.43May 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$101.19May 18, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$315.42May 14, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$13.12May 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$30.99May 12, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$82.34May 12, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?$102.73May 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?$135.62Apr 22, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers$327.83Apr 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMJabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5$25.54Apr 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYJabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5$15.00Apr 18, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeBron James: Points O/U 24.5$400.00Apr 18, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$150.00Apr 18, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?$6.36Apr 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?$395.59Apr 15, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $175.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".