Flaky-Snake
0x3e869a353d51fc3f686553e0352a7f2a901db00b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.00
Realised
$-39.80
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?
203 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?
143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 2?
111 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
111 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
33 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?
23 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?$3.10Jul 4, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?$10.48Jun 29, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.64Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$2.10Jun 12, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?$4.19Jun 12, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$4.15Jun 12, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?$4.65Jun 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?$5.20Jun 8, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?$10.32Jun 8, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?$23.81Jun 8, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?$4.03Jun 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?$6.24Jun 7, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 6?$7.69Jun 7, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 6?$5.19Jun 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 6?$5.09Jun 5, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?$6.58Jun 5, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?$9.26Jun 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?$1.03Jun 4, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?$16.84Jun 4, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.