Bowed-Moustache
0x3e89764e22f94c2534c8ebb4e039f658bccc805e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.89
Realised
$210.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$15.63Jun 20, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$210.77Jun 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$106.36Jun 20, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.00Jun 20, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$106.84Jun 20, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$153.63Jun 20, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$106.27Jun 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$145.25Jun 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$105.39Jun 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$129.68Jun 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$105.46Jun 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.24Jun 20, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$115.38Apr 7, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$122.56Apr 7, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.00Apr 5, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 5, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$44.76Feb 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$20.00Feb 10, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$401.54Feb 1, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$192.43Jan 28, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $113.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.