Honorable-Haversack
0x3e8d4a3caf0dc30dac2d6e366be083ed0d9aab7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.28
Total PnL
$-421.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$4.08
$0.98
- YES
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.20
$0.15
- YES
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
410 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-106.86
- YES
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?
394 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
283 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-116.00
- NO
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$4.86Nov 12, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$1.09Nov 11, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?$3.52Nov 11, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?$100.00Oct 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$100.00Oct 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$100.00Oct 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture Sudzha before December?$116.00Oct 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?$3.24Oct 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk before December?$3.10Oct 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$2.00Oct 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMBelarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?$3.01Oct 4, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Toretsk before October?$3.31Oct 4, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMCrimean bridge hit before October?$2.02Oct 4, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?$1.05Sep 28, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$1.00Sep 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Toretsk before October?$1.00Sep 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrimean bridge hit before October?$2.00Sep 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?$3.00Sep 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Toretsk before October?$2.00Sep 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?$1.00Sep 28, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $29.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".