Wan-Damage
0x3e93480e1371aa58185e4998525bb382d62a353f
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$66.85
Realised
$-74.93
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
1528 shares @ 50.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.5K
$760.91
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
341 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$340.92
$40.91
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
200 shares @ 61.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$200.00
$76.53
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
193 shares @ 77.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$192.91
$42.91
- NO
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
156 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$155.76
$5.76
- NO
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
91 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$91.43
$32.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
968 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026?
267 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
144 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$74.58Jul 2, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$9.54Jul 2, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$24.96Jul 2, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$200.96Jun 29, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$125.35Jun 29, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$200.96Jun 29, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$51.30Jun 22, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$32.95Jun 21, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$12.34Jun 21, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$64.84Jun 21, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?$30.00Feb 28, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.19Feb 28, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$225.86Feb 28, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$48.00Feb 24, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$57.00Feb 23, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026?$150.00Feb 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?$1.86Feb 23, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?$82.09Feb 23, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?$47.47Feb 23, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?$4.53Feb 23, 05:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $138.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.