Lone-Elk-Lava
0x3e96c7cffa71eaf8d19563a9425cfebf75a8f392
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-139.81
Win rate
0%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
259 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-135.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
208 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-80.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
205 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-53.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
203 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-82.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
202 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-84.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
202 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-140.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
200 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-89.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
200 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-113.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
199 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-57.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
199 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-84.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$85.69Aug 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$93.31Aug 19, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Aug 19, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$215.38Aug 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$172.65Aug 19, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$7.78Aug 19, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$75.36Aug 19, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.63Aug 19, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Aug 19, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$206.90Aug 19, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$130.32Aug 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$22.25Aug 19, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Aug 19, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$208.22Aug 19, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$164.96Aug 19, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$209.24Aug 18, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$185.63Aug 18, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Aug 18, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$203.49Aug 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$179.02Aug 18, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 90 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
90 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $95.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.