Fat-Cheddar
0x3e9d54f337ca1f65e638cae8afbb5e7fbac73dcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$4.09
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 26, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Jan 21, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by between 24% and 26.9% in December?$1.01Jan 15, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 7, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.01Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.02Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMTether insolvent in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI launch a token in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?$1.03Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMKraken IPO in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.