Immediate-Innocent
0x3eac716c1c31efc64d4a00bf74c4d78efa9b6b10
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-202.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 28?
283 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.89
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?
281 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on December 9?
279 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 4?
278 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 11?
275 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 11?
274 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.11
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on November 14?
272 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 24?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on November 29?
271 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on November 16?
270 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 24?$0.00Apr 19, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 9?$0.00Apr 12, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $160 on November 14?$0.00Mar 31, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 9?$0.00Mar 29, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?$2.81Jan 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 5AM ET$1.09Jan 16, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?$0.32Jan 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?$59.00Jan 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?$1.92Jan 10, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 10?$58.66Jan 10, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 10?$0.09Jan 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 10?$55.70Jan 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.41Jan 9, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 9?$2.81Jan 8, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 8?$1.85Jan 7, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 7?$1.80Jan 7, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on January 7?$3.39Jan 6, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 2, 2026?$57.06Jan 1, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMSaint Mary's Gaels vs. Pepperdine Waves$57.79Jan 1, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Mary's Gaels vs. Pepperdine Waves$0.76Dec 31, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.