Cruel-Asymmetry
0x3eac7b83768ab86d6e1a50780e20d799b9a2b4e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-559.16
Realised
$4.36
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3AM ET
273 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 26?
148 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
122 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-71.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4AM ET
105 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
87 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-41.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
87 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
85 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-29.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
85 shares @ 63.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-54.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
79 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
37 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?$15.00Apr 11, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 12?$0.61Apr 9, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 12?$0.75Apr 9, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 12?$0.75Apr 9, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 12?$0.14Apr 9, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 12?$0.50Apr 9, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 12?$1.65Apr 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 12?$0.10Apr 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 11?$0.01Apr 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?$3.56Apr 8, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?$0.64Apr 8, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?$0.61Apr 8, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 9?$0.15Apr 8, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 9?$0.09Apr 8, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 9?$0.07Apr 8, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?$14.13Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8?$0.30Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 11?$0.11Apr 7, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?$0.11Apr 7, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".