Near-Device
0x3eb9b2124590a35f2c1a88b15f7acb369747901e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-158.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?
872 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-599.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?
623 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-417.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C or higher on April 21?
546 shares @ 85.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-464.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?
533 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-515.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?
444 shares @ 76.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-338.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 27?
437 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-359.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?
367 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-337.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
245 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-233.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?
243 shares @ 88.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-215.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 19?
202 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-115.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$7.00Jun 23, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$4.73Jun 23, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?$5.00Jun 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?$4.89Jun 22, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 21?$4.98Jun 21, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 21?$4.93Jun 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?$10.28Jun 21, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 20?$15.00Jun 20, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 20?$14.14Jun 20, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?$5.00Jun 19, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?$5.00Jun 19, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?$4.98Jun 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?$4.66Jun 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 19?$7.98Jun 19, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?$2.18Jun 19, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?$7.99Jun 19, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 19?$7.77Jun 19, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?$7.92Jun 19, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 18?$4.26Jun 18, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 18?$5.99Jun 18, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 22:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.