Frayed-Mussel
0x3ec33ce726f5022190629cec990c023352b377e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$24.65
Total PnL
$-48.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Biden seen in public by Friday?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$15.79
$12.79
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$6.16
$1.17
- YES
Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$2.70
$1.70
- YES
Comey jailed before July?
89 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
71 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?
38 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.99May 29, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump tariffs Apple before July?$1.00May 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$1.00May 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$1.00May 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy purchases >14000 BTC May 27-June 2?$1.00May 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEmmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025?$2.00May 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny more New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?$1.00May 28, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?$1.00May 28, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY US military action on Yemen before July?$1.00May 28, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench Open: Alcaraz vs. Marozsán$1.00May 28, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers retire?$4.00May 28, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?$3.00May 27, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$3.00May 27, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden seen in public by Friday?$3.00May 21, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?$2.00May 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo drop out of NYC Mayor primary?$2.00May 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US debt downgrade in 2025?$3.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAll New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?$3.00May 19, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYComey jailed before July?$3.54May 19, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$10.00May 19, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".