Overcooked-Singing
0x3ec5b03a6ef75a3fc99f542dc9db2c4d35f7c370
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$811.26
Total PnL
$-229.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$20.80
$0.80
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.77
$0.77
- NO
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$20.74
$0.74
- NO
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?
21 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$20.70
$0.70
- UP
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 21?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$20.62
$0.62
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 20 2026?
21 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$20.55
$0.55
- YES
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$20.53
$0.53
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of July 20 2026?
21 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$20.38
$0.38
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of July 20 2026?
21 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$20.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$20.26
$0.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 21?$20.83Jul 21, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?$20.62Jul 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 22?$20.02Jul 21, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on July 22?$20.01Jul 21, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 21?$20.10Jul 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 22?$18.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$18.01Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of July 20 2026?$20.02Jul 21, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 22?$20.01Jul 21, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$18.14Jul 21, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 17, 2026?$20.24Jul 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$18.01Jul 21, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 21?$20.41Jul 21, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 21?$20.20Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 21?$20.20Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 21?$20.20Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 21?$20.20Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 21?$20.46Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 21?$20.41Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of July 20 2026?$20.02Jul 21, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.