Gloomy-Inhibition
0x3ec869be29ef75faa5931b5e0773af97f4dff8af
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$9.91
Total PnL
$-6.52
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.37
$0.33
- NO
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of June 29 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$0.00
- NO
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 3?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 29 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of June 29 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on March 28?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$1.92Jul 2, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$3.00Jul 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of June 29 2026?$2.99Jul 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of June 29 2026?$4.10Jul 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of June 29 2026?$3.98Jul 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of June 29 2026?$5.00Jul 2, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?$5.05Jul 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?$6.20Jul 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$6.21Jul 2, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?$1.05Jul 2, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$7.30Jul 2, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?$1.06Jul 2, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 3?$4.53Jul 2, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 29 2026?$4.96Jul 2, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 3?$5.60Jul 2, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 29 2026?$6.00Jul 2, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.00May 29, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 11 2026?$1.00May 29, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on May 14?$1.01May 29, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.01May 29, 05:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.