Friendly-Cephalopod
0x3eccb67e467ab5cade77e17fe8b407450d691d30
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$11.6K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-231.38
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
4200 shares @ 92.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.2K
$248.71
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2793 shares @ 35.8¢·now 79.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.2K
$1.2K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1200 shares @ 93.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$47.80
- YES
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
811 shares @ 37.2¢·now 97.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$791.40
$489.53
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
940 shares @ 73.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$531.01
$-157.79
- NO
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?
507 shares @ 83.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$420.93
$-3.21
- YES
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
634 shares @ 52.9¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$374.22
$38.67
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$274.50
$13.50
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
270 shares @ 78.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$255.66
$44.62
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
249 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$245.67
$4.86
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.84Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.7KJun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Generation" this week?$3.25Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Interest rate" this week?$3.15Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Table" this week?$7.54Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Memory" this week?$33.27Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$3.20Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Danger" this week?$49.87Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$100.18Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$801.20Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$701.68Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $500.00Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "UFC" this week?$35.55Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $443.30Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $2.14Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $34.56Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?$90.00Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?$91.00Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$10.21Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$25.53Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $159.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.