Glistening-Performance
0x3edc7cc8761e05d1de35686043ab3be1546c42de
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$241.54
Total PnL
$-44.68
Realised
$-3.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
180 shares @ 94.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.63
$1.62
- YES
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
2404 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.26
$-33.13
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
241 shares @ 11.1¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.43
$-8.35
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 29.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.28
$0.79
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.95
$-2.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$0.80May 24, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$0.64May 24, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$0.36May 24, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$0.00Apr 20, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.00Apr 20, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.00Apr 20, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.00Apr 20, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$0.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$0.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$45.00Feb 16, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$7.32Feb 14, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$2.70Feb 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$0.26Feb 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$6.15Feb 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$18.00Feb 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$21.00Feb 14, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.