Neglected-Journalism
0x3edd0a200549a55025f27c87e25e1b235fe95440
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$51.07
Total PnL
$0.19
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.36
$0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 21?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.13
$0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 21?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.91
$0.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in June?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.35
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.36
$0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.26
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.95
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.93
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$23.80Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $9.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.