Helpless-Hurdler
0x3ee2bbb93614edeea3988476e9125224b707e091
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-626.45
Realised
$131.91
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test?
535 shares @ 56.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2024$535.09
$235.09
- NO
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1?
334 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2024$333.75
$17.70
- YES
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) beat More Light?
250 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$250.00
$175.00
- YES
Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?
250 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2024$250.00
$7.50
- NO
Will More Light beat Ben Armstrong?
250 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$250.00
$100.00
- YES
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
400 shares @ 72.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$200.00
$-90.00
- NO
Will Warpcast flip X on the app store in February?
200 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 29, 2024$200.00
$6.00
- NO
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2024$100.00
$55.00
- NO
[Single Market] Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$50.00
$2.00
- NO
[Single Market] Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$50.00
$1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?$0.48Mar 6, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?$2.02Mar 6, 08:58 UTC
- REWARD$2.15Mar 2, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) get KO'd?$200.00Feb 23, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) get KO'd?$200.00Feb 23, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana Network go down again in February?$192.20Feb 23, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) beat More Light?$75.00Feb 23, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill More Light beat Ben Armstrong?$150.00Feb 23, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$100.00Feb 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test?$200.00Feb 20, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test?$100.00Feb 20, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8?$50.00Feb 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15?$36.82Feb 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Imran Khan be next prime minister of Pakistan?$14.70Feb 8, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$3.98Feb 7, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$22.10Feb 7, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$47.05Feb 7, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February?$15.00Feb 7, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warpcast flip X on the app store in February?$194.00Feb 6, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana Network go down again in February?$175.50Feb 6, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $64.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.