Finished-Page
0x3ef0eb8b5d1423063c06e03c0fc94a98f1373140
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?
287 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 9, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$5.00Oct 16, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?$5.71Oct 6, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Piráti get between 8% and 11% of the vote in the Czech election?$6.67Oct 6, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU sanctions on Iran by September 30? $1.94Sep 29, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.00Sep 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?$2.00Sep 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?$2.00Sep 28, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Piráti get between 8% and 11% of the vote in the Czech election?$3.00Sep 28, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$5.00Sep 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$1.00Sep 28, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".