Decimal-Pack
0x3efa87371501cf77a2690461db47b79e0f3b2667
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$51.48
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
71 shares @ 48.3¢·now 68.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$47.98
$13.89
- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
132 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.50
$-1.77
- YES
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?
2293 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
82 shares @ 87.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-71.87
- YES
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Hottest country" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$5.19Jul 20, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$24.15Jul 20, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$0.27Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$6.45Jul 15, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$4.20Jul 15, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$27.35May 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 2, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular charged again by June 30?$89.39Apr 2, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?$0.00Mar 27, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$0.00Mar 27, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Illegal Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.00Mar 27, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular charged again by June 30?$39.84Mar 27, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular charged again by June 30?$10.00Mar 27, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular charged again by June 30?$20.00Mar 27, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$0.00Mar 27, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$20.63Mar 27, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$49.10Mar 27, 03:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $137.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.