Short-Term-Curve
0x3efba9a9b02ccd08290bd445f699ff403282472b
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
10929 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
10248 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
8057 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-299.00
- YES
Will the price of $BTC be above $43,000 on February 1st, 2022?
90 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 28?$100.00Dec 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$299.00Dec 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$700.00Dec 13, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $366.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.