Downright-Peek
0x3efbe6342b290613e2e7c8585599cd5e1a42244b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$22.93
Total PnL
$-459.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
368 shares @ 7.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.79
$-15.21
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
389 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.14
$-25.86
- NO
New Pope announced by May 31?
16233 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-236.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
5630 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-80.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
117 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
107 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.23
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.00May 11, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$30.34May 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$35.00May 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$68.77May 11, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$291.04Mar 1, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$291.04Feb 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$149.33Feb 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$50.00Feb 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$50.00Feb 16, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 6?$80.18May 6, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 31?$10.00May 4, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 31?$10.00May 2, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 31?$17.00May 2, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 31?$50.00May 2, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 31?$150.00May 2, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$317.18Apr 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$240.49Apr 30, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$240.49Apr 30, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$0.00Apr 30, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?$0.00Apr 30, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $231.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.