0x3efde018579313991bf1258d259fad5a997fc6da
0x3efde018579313991bf1258d259fad5a997fc6da
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$12.14
Total PnL
$-82.64
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
9 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$9.00
$8.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?
3 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.99
$2.24
- YES
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
176 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.09
$-0.26
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
111 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.06
$-0.28
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in March?
1558 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.01
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?
248 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on March 31?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of March?
137 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 8?$1.50Apr 8, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 8?$0.13Apr 8, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 8?$0.18Apr 8, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 8?$0.18Apr 8, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on April 8?$1.43Apr 8, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on April 8?$0.41Apr 8, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on April 8?$0.37Apr 8, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 8?$1.40Apr 8, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 8?$1.36Apr 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 8?$0.14Apr 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 8?$0.88Apr 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 8?$0.18Apr 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 8?$1.25Apr 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 8?$1.26Apr 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 8?$0.25Apr 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on April 8?$0.65Apr 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 8?$0.74Apr 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 8?$0.51Apr 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 8?$1.44Apr 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$0.84Apr 8, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.