Organic-Reaction
0x3f02308a79d6fe398f23f37dda704666e6637bed
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$25.37
Total PnL
$-19.37
Realised
$-0.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$10.00
$5.50
- YES
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?
6 shares @ 50.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$6.00
$2.99
- NO
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$4.35
$2.87
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
2 shares @ 71.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$2.02
$0.57
- NO
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$2.00
$0.30
- YES
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$1.00
$0.22
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
71 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-31.20
- YES
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
1 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.50Oct 15, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $5.21Oct 14, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$0.00Oct 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$22.50Oct 10, 12:33 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Oct 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$4.45Oct 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $0.96Oct 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $22.31Oct 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $12.40Oct 8, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $13.40Oct 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $0.67Oct 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $14.20Oct 8, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Speed break the 24h backflip world record? $13.80Oct 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNo Israel strike on Iran by Sunday?$10.20Oct 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Israel strike on Iran by Sunday?$10.00Oct 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNo Israel strike on Iran by Sunday?$9.60Oct 8, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Israel strike on Iran by Sunday?$8.80Oct 8, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Iran on Monday?$0.37Oct 8, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.90Oct 8, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Israel strike Iran on Monday?$9.46Oct 7, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".