Naive-Market
0x3f093b6a37ecaccf8b667b76f4ebd09eb57a041f
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$235.00
Total PnL
$-7.92
Realised
$-7.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
140 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$140.00
$1.96
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
80 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$80.00
$7.20
- NO
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$15.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
190 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$9.50Dec 16, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$138.04Dec 11, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$170.00Dec 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$72.80Nov 21, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$103.53Oct 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$82.22Oct 24, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$68.25Oct 24, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$65.96Oct 21, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$80.59Oct 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLLeicester City wins the Premier League?$124.63Oct 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeicester City wins the Premier League?$124.75Oct 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+$76.96Oct 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLNo Solana all time high in 2024?$8.50Oct 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$56.91Oct 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$11.25Oct 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.20Oct 12, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.09Sep 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.09Sep 22, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $46.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.