Oblong-Chub
0x3f137d07071e283685f44fd55e141a75bee5a3f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
21/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-883.06
Realised
$-49.16
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- THUNDER
Pacers vs. Thunder
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
6120 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Mali win on 2026-01-03?
1238 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- PAPER REX
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?
275 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
244 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Blues
161 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-31.20
- CANADIENS
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
131 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$120.48Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $51.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.