Shameless-Scalp
0x3f34c89619a569ce7b779d0ff3e3d9bf62806f89
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-259.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
664 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- NO
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31?
441 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strike on Gulf State by September 30?
260 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
200 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
199 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$12.76Jun 16, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$7.16Jun 12, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$19.23Jun 12, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$10.00Mar 24, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLJesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$10.77Feb 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYJesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$9.25Feb 9, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.41Feb 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.20Feb 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$1.15Jan 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?$1.05Jan 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$4.56Jan 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?$2.45Jan 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.45Dec 1, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.18Dec 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.45Dec 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.45Dec 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.27Dec 1, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?$1.20Dec 1, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 3?$3.48Dec 1, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.