These-Borrowing
0x3f38c44f6951907e4072797131d126a1eaeadac6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
4049 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2025$0.00
$-149.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
2867 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
1930 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?
1446 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
1393 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-340.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
1265 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
1071 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
1030 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
1020 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$202.11Oct 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$100.00Aug 10, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?$50.00Mar 9, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Mar 14?$50.00Mar 9, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?$50.00Mar 9, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $2.45 on March 14?$100.00Mar 9, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? $100.00Feb 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on Feb 28?$100.00Feb 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$100.00Feb 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$100.00Feb 16, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$200.00Feb 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?$100.00Feb 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$350.00Feb 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?$30.00Feb 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?$70.00Feb 9, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$50.00Feb 8, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$50.00Feb 8, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$100.00Feb 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$50.00Feb 8, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?$75.00Jan 10, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $185.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".