Wide-Seminar-Flood
0x3f3cd96a71cb79ac248163eee29789432f7eba50
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-722.82
Realised
$13.91
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
103 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
79 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jul 31, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$2.07Jul 31, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.32Jul 31, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$2.07Jul 31, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.10Jul 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.08Jul 31, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.93Jul 31, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.12Jul 31, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$6.23Jul 31, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.16Jul 31, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.36Jul 31, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.24Jul 31, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.86Jul 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.18Jul 31, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.69Jul 31, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.20Jul 31, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.95Jul 31, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.22Jul 31, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.84Jul 31, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.17Jul 31, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.