Skeletal-Skull
0x3f4341df34a02e840ef265a892481c72bfd69e50
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$7.86
Win rate
14%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9AM ET
353 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
331 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1PM ET
255 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
225 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
215 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-144.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3AM ET
137 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10AM ET
110 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-93.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET
100 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-66.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET
91 shares @ 71.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-64.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3PM ET$25.20Aug 18, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3PM ET$60.53Aug 18, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3PM ET$4.26Aug 18, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3PM ET$69.52Aug 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$13.50Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$11.25Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$4.55Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$13.50Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$13.50Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$6.70Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$43.87Aug 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1PM ET$59.40Aug 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1PM ET$49.25Aug 11, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6AM ET$17.00Aug 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6AM ET$17.00Aug 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6AM ET$12.75Aug 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6AM ET$4.25Aug 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6AM ET$38.78Aug 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6AM ET$54.00Aug 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6AM ET$40.80Aug 10, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.