Overlooked-Paw
0x3f4858e364b74ae5d7b2629bad1bcdea4bb40490
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.41
Realised
$3.84
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trudeau resign Today?
792 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-0.79
- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
380 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.00Feb 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$54.60Feb 6, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.50Jan 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$58.10Jan 26, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$57.61Jan 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$57.61Jan 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$44.65Jan 26, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 25, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$11.50Jan 25, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$1.34Jan 24, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?$0.32Jan 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?$0.61Jan 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22?$0.23Jan 22, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLTrove FDV above $5M one day after launch?$9.32Jan 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrove FDV above $5M one day after launch?$2.42Jan 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$1.00Jan 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$32.87Jan 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Jan 18, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".