Attached-Rat
0x3f5629ca2aabe6852e55001bc081f347083ba284
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-282.66
Realised
$17.26
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 27?
487 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-0.49
- YES
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
120 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?
70 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- NO
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
40 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$29.99Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$3.33Jul 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$3.76Jul 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?$2.87Jul 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?$1.23Jul 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5$0.93Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5$2.97Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?$14.99Jun 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?$1.14Jun 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.36Jun 11, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.08Jun 11, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$3.31Jun 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?$2.94Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?$1.47Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 9?$5.17Jun 7, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$10.00Jun 6, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.07Jun 6, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$4.90Jun 6, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Jun 6, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.03Jun 5, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.