0x3f60aba09ec7522889c7e2e8f2a06461637d4cac
0x3f60aba09ec7522889c7e2e8f2a06461637d4cac
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.09
Total PnL
$-166.69
Realised
$-4.06
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?
6 shares @ 65.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$6.09
$2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 20?
198 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?
188 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-108.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?
34 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 24?
24 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 23?
19 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 29?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?$1.02Jun 29, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?$1.02Jun 29, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?$1.02Jun 29, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?$1.02Jun 29, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 29?$1.02Jun 29, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?$2.80Jun 28, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$3.16Jun 28, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?$1.01Jun 27, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.03Jun 27, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.00Jun 27, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.05Jun 27, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.00Jun 27, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.05Jun 27, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?$1.01Jun 27, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?$1.01Jun 27, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.05Jun 27, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.04Jun 27, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.04Jun 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.04Jun 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?$1.04Jun 27, 11:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.