Impure-Burden-Limb
0x3f6556f613bb1ea121588143cf48de4f3221bdfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-165.20
Realised
$3.83
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$2.38Jul 21, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.88Jul 21, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.28Jul 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.12Jul 18, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.40Jul 18, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.10Jul 18, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.04Jul 18, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.10Jul 18, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.11Jul 18, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.08Jul 18, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.10Jul 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.44Jul 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.79Jul 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.10Jul 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.99Jul 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.01Jul 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.99Jul 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.01Jul 18, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.87Jul 18, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.01Jul 18, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.