Grotesque-Thermometer
0x3f66bfeef1adceff0dd2ed5056dc3509bf208d7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-199.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
144 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-79.27
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
121 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
79 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$79.27Oct 29, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$50.00Oct 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$20.00Sep 19, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$5.18Sep 14, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala be Nominee before Convention?$0.00Sep 3, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?$0.00Sep 3, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$0.00Sep 3, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBiden resigns from presidency by August 31?$0.00Sep 3, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?$83.84Aug 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?$50.00Aug 11, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELL538 favorite when forecast is turned on? $4.10Aug 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Aug 11, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$10.00Aug 7, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY538 favorite when forecast is turned on? $10.00Jul 30, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY538 favorite when forecast is turned on? $20.00Jul 29, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELL538 favorite when forecast is turned on? $15.38Jul 29, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill weed be rescheduled in 2024?$10.00Jul 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY538 favorite when forecast is turned on? $20.00Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala be Nominee before Convention?$2.82Jul 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala be Nominee before Convention?$5.00Jul 27, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $22.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".