Filthy-Shoelace
0x3f678618cf6a64efad027ec97fd920dde9dd53b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.18
Total PnL
$-406.35
Realised
$-15.72
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- SIMION
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
13 shares @ 83.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$13.18
$2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102000 and $104000 on May 16?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 16?
3132 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106000 and $108000 on May 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?
1023 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-112.85
- YES
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?
971 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-173.96
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his May 13 interview?
245 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 16?
245 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?
214 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$1.97May 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win by 12–18%?$1.97May 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$20.00May 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 12–18%?$5.00May 18, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$15.00May 18, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$5.00May 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$5.00May 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$20.00May 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$15.85May 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 12–18%?$4.00May 18, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$25.00May 18, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$25.00May 18, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$3.00May 18, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$7.00May 18, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$10.00May 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$15.00May 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$25.00May 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$18.22May 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$20.00May 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$148.19May 18, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 18:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.