Ragged-Pear
0x3f6a5a1e7b27a39472bdb4f26690132718be2f6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-121.60
Realised
$-60.81
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?
750 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-18.48
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?
450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump claims largest inauguration crowd ever?
365 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.67
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.39ºC in February 2025?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
70 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
30 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?
30 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?
25 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-6.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?$6.80Mar 2, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?$0.00Mar 2, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.15Mar 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.05Mar 2, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?$0.00Mar 2, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025?$0.00Mar 2, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Costume Design at the 2025 Oscars?$0.08Mar 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Costume Design at the 2025 Oscars?$0.02Mar 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?$1.80Mar 2, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Costume Design at the 2025 Oscars?$0.40Mar 2, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?$0.02Mar 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?$0.07Mar 2, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?$0.06Mar 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?$0.06Mar 2, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$0.88Mar 2, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.02Mar 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.22Mar 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.07Mar 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.09Mar 1, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.05Mar 1, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".