Muddy-Encouragement
0x3f70f94b16b34b1231474312ac1d18c2ae595517
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$38.96
Total PnL
$-30.12
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Xi Jinping out before October?
10 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.01
$0.57
- NO
Will Trump resign in 2025?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.14
$0.14
- NO
GTA VI released in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
3 shares @ 35.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.79
$1.79
- YES
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.56
$0.56
- YES
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?
2 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.31
$0.31
- NO
US defaults on debt in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.08
$0.07
- NO
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.07
$0.06
- NO
Fed abolished in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?$32.42Nov 12, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$2.00Sep 24, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut in 2025?$2.38Sep 24, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q3 2025?$5.00Sep 24, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.00Sep 5, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in August?$0.20Aug 25, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released in 2025?$1.00Aug 18, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$2.00Aug 18, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4500 in July?$4.79Aug 9, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released in 2025?$2.00Aug 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q3 2025?$3.75Jul 31, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4500 in July?$4.68Jul 27, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$9.43Jul 24, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?$2.00Jul 24, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign in 2025?$3.00Jul 24, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt in 2025?$2.00Jul 24, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished in 2025?$2.00Jul 24, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$2.00Jul 24, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$2.00Jul 24, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS defaults on debt in 2025?$0.99Jul 17, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.