Dizzy-Dinghy
0x3f75c1877b664314624f233ddaa889b75d98eaa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-71.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 8?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
633 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 19?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 31?
360 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 25?
337 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or higher on April 1?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 2?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$16.12Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$16.10Jul 17, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?$95.09Jun 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?$95.01Jun 11, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$1.00Jun 4, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$49.10Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$45.09Jun 3, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$1.00Jun 3, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$45.01Jun 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.05Jun 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$49.00Jun 1, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$95.09May 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$95.00May 22, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$95.10May 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$95.00May 19, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$95.10May 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$95.01May 10, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$95.09May 10, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$95.01May 6, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$95.10May 6, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $56.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.