Esteemed-Princess
0x3f75c45e97ca8eca22c2651bc0b5e7e7475b8775
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$1.10
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$4.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
170 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$-3.50
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 February 2-8?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in February?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on February 19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
9730 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-321.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 19?
8606 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
5335 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-219.99
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
5093 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
3870 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$68.30Jun 8, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.30Jun 8, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$34.62Jun 8, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.30Jun 8, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.25Jun 8, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$47.97Jun 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.13Jun 8, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.60Jun 8, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.68Jun 8, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.68Jun 8, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$41.55May 8, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$207.57May 8, 13:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?$10.00Apr 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$10.00Apr 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.11Apr 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.26Apr 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.30Apr 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.58Apr 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.01Apr 22, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $23.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.