Plaintive-Gentleman
0x3f8756bbe505870f0ef4b137e334de583219fd81
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$13.08
Total PnL
$-22.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Rainbow FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 4, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 10?$1.00Dec 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.01Dec 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$1.01Dec 26, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 10?$1.00Dec 9, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other driver finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Dec 8, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMOver 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.00Dec 8, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 4?$1.01Dec 8, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$1.01Dec 8, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.