Rough-Skeleton
0x3f8b4670b7b268b30e391a09dec50087422d2adb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will India win?
37 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-29.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Malaysia events on October 26?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$4.23Jun 17, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 16, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.08Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$3.03Jun 12, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 12, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.41Jun 10, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.50Jun 10, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?$6.14Jun 10, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$4.76Jun 10, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?$4.26Nov 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India win?$29.80Nov 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.00Nov 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?$5.00Nov 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?$2.00Nov 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$0.24Nov 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.25Nov 11, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?$1.39Nov 5, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?$2.56Nov 5, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.