Careful-Creative
0x3f969cb92ad181c7df96adb5f9488520fbc03d33
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$62.59
Total PnL
$-21.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$11.21
$0.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
11 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$11.09
$0.10
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 30?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
13 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.00Apr 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$10.01Apr 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 30?$10.01Apr 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?$10.00Apr 28, 14:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$998.99Apr 23, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1000.00Apr 23, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$998.97Apr 23, 03:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1000.00Apr 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$998.98Apr 22, 03:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1000.00Apr 21, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1000.00Apr 21, 08:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1000.00Apr 20, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$998.99Apr 20, 01:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1000.00Apr 19, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$998.99Apr 19, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $434.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 14:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.