Total-Balcony
0x3fad334086a2b7551b0a72e3c8fd28eb5defaa2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$27.89
Total PnL
$-847.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$16.25
$6.25
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
145 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
180 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.44
$-6.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
1363 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-621.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
852 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-41.35
- NO
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
411 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
286 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-12.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
273 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
250 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.75
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
233 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.01May 10, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$26.12May 10, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$33.02May 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$26.42May 10, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00May 10, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$49.02May 10, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$25.86May 10, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$25.20May 10, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$26.07May 10, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$17.86May 10, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$10.31May 7, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.20May 7, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$164.65Apr 16, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$141.48Apr 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$43.43Apr 13, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$184.91Apr 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$125.10Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$131.11Apr 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$139.66Apr 13, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$21.28Apr 11, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $90.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.