Intrepid-Debt
0x3faff5ac67217d2c57f9ca35885ee48267edc801
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$113.10
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$80.00Apr 22, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$79.60Apr 22, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$33.00Apr 22, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.60Apr 22, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$60.06Apr 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.94Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$79.84Mar 31, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$60.00Mar 31, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$10.01Mar 31, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$35.04Mar 31, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$40.04Mar 31, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill St Pauli win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$40.04Mar 31, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$90.18Mar 31, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$90.00Feb 10, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$10.00Feb 10, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$35.00Feb 10, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 17?$15.02Feb 10, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 18?$15.03Feb 10, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$110.11Feb 10, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$40.00Jan 15, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $136.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.