Fair-Revascularization
0x3fb026c73a3b280882e132170a08975cfc538f5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.57
Total PnL
$-2.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.57
$0.19
- NO
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.31
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 42.5 on December 12, 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$1.10Jan 16, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.38Jan 15, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$1.02Jan 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?$1.42Jan 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?$1.42Jan 7, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?$8.67Jan 3, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?$2.89Jan 3, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?$8.69Jan 3, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?$2.51Dec 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$1.38Dec 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$1.41Dec 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$1.46Dec 15, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$1.36Dec 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.22Dec 10, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be at least 42.5 on December 12, 2025?$1.02Dec 8, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?$1.31Dec 5, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.18Dec 2, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.05Nov 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.07Nov 28, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$1.30Nov 19, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 18:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.