Infantile-Snake
0x3fb879d2909d338dab8136dd000cb3974184e946
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$30.66
Total PnL
$-6.09
Realised
$-6.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$6.68
$0.08
- NO
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.33
$0.01
- NO
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.41
$-0.00
- NO
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.23
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?$6.60Sep 10, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Agora win the USDH ticker?$15.00Sep 10, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$8.82Sep 10, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.0KJul 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.0KJul 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.1KJul 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.1KJul 25, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?$12.08Jul 25, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?$12.00Jun 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.32Jun 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$8.65Jun 29, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.56Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon 500-749 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$1.86Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democratic Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$2.00Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$2.01Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$2.05Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.21Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$2.49Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$3.01Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?$3.02Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $448.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.