Bare-Pyramid
0x3fbd1f8fce19ad0de927d03af6068a1d7f7e1c60
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
234 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $30?
191 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
58 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?
16 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$14.90Jul 16, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$10.03Jul 16, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.01Jul 15, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.47Jul 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.02Jul 15, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.02Jul 15, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Jul 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.06Jul 15, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$3.45Jul 15, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.06Jul 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.15Jul 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$18.27Jul 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$16.00Jul 14, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?$10.37Jun 30, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$0.35Jun 28, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria?$9.05Jun 28, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$5.11Jun 28, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.00Jun 20, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.