Intent-Bead
0x3fcc94aadaa0038667c81730b90719f7e2ab5c9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$70.14
Total PnL
$1.73
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
67 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$66.63
$0.35
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.40
$1.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.59
$0.08
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.45
$0.15
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
225 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.34
$0.04
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.30
$0.10
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.15
$0.05
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.10
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.03
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.23Jun 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10Jun 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$39.96Jun 14, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$118.07Jun 13, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$19.98Jun 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$9.99Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$29.97Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5.83Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$19.98Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$25.97Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$22.64Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$49.95Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15Jun 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$46.39Jun 13, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$19.90Jun 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$39.89Jun 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$65.33Jun 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$107.79Jun 13, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.