Sleepy-Vase
0x3fcdccbb9d51a47ac7b23af5bd8ac8c7068e2107
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-20.0K
Realised
$-773.42
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
980 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$973.63
$4.41
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
37 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$37.00
$14.80
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.11
$-784.30
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.28
$-789.12
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.46
$-793.95
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.46
$-793.95
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.46
$-793.95
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.02
$-800.39
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.02
$-800.39
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.02
$-800.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 5, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $6.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.